De um leitor: Sobre o Post "E Agora?" também traduzido pela Margarida aqui.
This text sums up quite well the enormity of the task ahead and correctly points out that such issues cannot be resolved within 10 months. For that very same reason the success of this new government cannot be measured in terms of achieving or not the resolution of all those issues but by its ability to lay the necessary grounds for the healing to take pleace and continue into the foreseeable future.
Unlike that which is postulated by the author, this situation very much discounts an ouright return of Alkatiri to politics or in the very least as a possible PM as that would translate into a reversal of all the healing work that will take place in the lead up to the 2007 elections. Thus, Alkatiri's possible return could have a catastrophic effect and could possibly plunge the country back into a new crisis. This decision and responsibility however rests squarely in the hands of Fretilin and the ability of its leadership to be able to place national interests ahead of its own or Mari Alkatiri political carreer.
There are however a few points which were not properly grasped by the author.
Firstly, the President was not the one who blamed this crisis on "everyone else" but simply on the government’s inability to handle the issue of the peticionaries and the subsequent crisis that derived from that. The ones blaming "everyone else" including foreign actors were infact Alkatiri himself and the hardcore fretilin leadership which have so far not been substantiated.
Secondly, the responsibility will not fall squarely on Xanana or Ramos Horta as such but instead the success of the new government will depend greatly on Fretilin showing to the people that despite all it is a politically mature party and genuinely more committed to bringing forth normality to the country rather than continuing with the strong arm stance of the past to the detriment of peace and stability of the country. That commitment should be clearly expressed through the establishment of a positive and fruitful cooperation and working relationship with its new PM and all state intitutions. It is also whorthwhile to note that despite an independent PM, the government remains very much a Fretilin government as a result of the party’s insistence.
This can best be ilustrated through the authors own words which I quote:
“FRETILIN in itself has not faltered as consequence of the crisis, it still has influence in the current Government, it still has great power to exercise from the Parliament neither of the two unconstitutional.”
If it is true, as stated by Mari Alkatiri in the past, that only Fretilin can create stability or instability, the next 10 months will prove beyond reasonable doubt which one of those Fretilin is trully commited to achieve.
A resposta de outro leitor:
On the contrary, Mari has not left Politics altogether. He is still highly regarded by the FRETILIN leadership (both "hardcore" or moderate), he has for now integrated in Parliament and he is still the Secretary General of FRETILIN. As pointed out if Mari is found not to be responsible for any of the allegations against him , I don’t see why he cannot return to politics.
There are two fundamental questions left out;
Was the crisis orchestrated (Coup d'état)?
What if FRETILIN wins the Election in 2007 by the same margin?
These two questions are fundamental in respect to Democracy.
If Mari is not found responsible for any of the allegations against him, I don’t see why he cannot return to politics or the Prime Ministership. This takes into the fact that he is still the Secretary General of FRETILIN a post which normally assumes the Prime Ministership if FRETILIN wins an election. I think if it is substantiated that the crisis was orchestrated and FRETILIN wins the elections and Mari is still the Secretary General he would be a strong candidate for the Prime Minister. I think in this scenario only Mari would rule himself out of the Prime Ministership.
Hence in this scenario unfolds then anything to the extent anonymous 8:15:56 PM points out “Alkatiri's possible return could have a catastrophic effect and could possibly plunge the country back into a new crisis.” amounts to threats on Democracy itself, should FRETILIN return with the same majority it has every right to choose the Prime Minister and be respected for that. As to wether possibly plunging the country to crisis, it is the responsibility of all political leaders to respect the results of any free and fair elections.
But alas, all depends on the Prosecutor General succeeding in finding a strong case against Mari, and whether FRETILIN wins the next election while Mari is Secretary General of the Party.
The question of the crisis being orchestrated, if FRETILIN wins the elections then it should have the maturity to look forward and reconcile with all other Political parties including Independents.
The healing process should begin with al leaders of our society Political and Civic respecting the results of any free and fair elections.
.
terça-feira, julho 11, 2006
The healing process. Free and fair elections. (I)
Subscrever:
Enviar feedback (Atom)
4 comentários:
E lamentavel que o Sr Malai Azul tenha retirado as minhas palavras do contexto do meu comentario. Aqui esta na integra.
This text sums up quite well the enormity of the task ahead and correctly points out that such issues cannot be resolved within 10 months. For that very same reason the success of this new government cannot be measured in terms of achieving or not the resolution of all those issues but by its ability to lay the necessary grounds for the healing to take pleace and continue into the foreseeable future.
Unlike that which is postulated by the author, this situation very much discounts an ouright return of Alkatiri to politics or in the very least as a possible PM as that would translate into a reversal of all the healing work that will take place in the lead up to the 2007 elections. Thus, Alkatiri's possible return could have a catastrophic effect and could possibly plunge the country back into a new crisis. This decision and responsibility however rests squarely in the hands of Fretilin and the ability of its leadership to be able to place national interests ahead of its own or Mari Alkatiri political carreer.
There are however a few points which were not properly grasped by the author.
Firstly, the President was not the one who blamed this crisis on "everyone else" but simply on the government’s inability to handle the issue of the peticionaries and the subsequent crisis that derived from that. The ones blaming "everyone else" including foreign actors were infact Alkatiri himself and the hardcore fretilin leadership which have so far not been substantiated.
Secondly, the responsibility will not fall squarely on Xanana or Ramos Horta as such but instead the success of the new government will depend greatly on Fretilin showing to the people that despite all it is a politically mature party and genuinely more committed to bringing forth normality to the country rather than continuing with the strong arm stance of the past to the detriment of peace and stability of the country. That commitment should be clearly expressed through the establishment of a positive and fruitful cooperation and working relationship with its new PM and all state intitutions. It is also whorthwhile to note that despite an independent PM, the government remains very much a Fretilin government as a result of the party’s insistence. This can best be ilustrated through the authors own words which I quote:
“FRETILIN in itself has not faltered as consequence of the crisis, it still has influence in the current Government, it still has great power to exercise from the Parliament neither of the two unconstitutional.”
If it is true, as stated by Mari Alkatiri in the past, that only Fretilin can create stability or instability, the next 10 months will prove beyond reasonable doubt which one of those Fretilin is trully commited to achieve
E aqui esta a resposta para esse comentario que foi feito relativamente ao meu comentario anterior:
Your arguments are sound in principle but based on idealism, a view of how the world should be and how people should react.
The game of politics is not governed by idealism but pragmatism. The scenario put forward by me is based on a pragmatic view of the world and people and a description of a very likely result should Fretilin insist holding on to Alkatiri as a candidate for PM.
I was not making a moral judgement on the righteousness of such scenario but merely stating the obvious.
Having said that I think Alkatiri himself understands such possibility when he suggested in an interview that maybe Fretilin should choose other names for the position.
Emotions aside, It is very hard for anyone to refute that regardless of the outcome of the investigations Alkatiri's image has been severely tarnished and his candidacy for Prime Ministership will not only trigger anxiety amongst the people in general but more importantly within Fretilin itself.
Fretilin needs to consolidate its position in readiness for the next election through a leader whose standing can span across the divide within the party itself. Whether Fretilin has this person or not is another matter. However, no one can convincingly argue that Alkatiri is still such person as this latest crisis has showed there to be an increasing opposition to his leadership. This opposition could be suficient to further unsettle the party's cohesiveness and jeopardise Fretilin's chances at the next elections if they are not brought back on board under a more unifying leadership.
If the current leadership chooses to ignore this it will do so to the party's own detriment. Despite claims to the contrary, Fretilin has been severely affected by this crisis and could well fail the test come next election if it does not fully heals its wounds.
"E lamentavel que o Sr Malai Azul tenha retirado as minhas palavras do contexto do meu comentario. Aqui esta na integra."
OK. Colocada a versão na íntegra.
Tradução:
O processo de cura. Eleições livres e justas. (I)
De um leitor: Sobre o Post "E Agora?" também traduzido pela Margarida aqui.
Este texto resume bastante bem a enormidade da tarefa e aponta correctamente que tais questões não se podem resolver em 10 meses. Por essa mesma razão o sucesso deste novo governo não pode ser medido em termos de conseguir ou não a resolução de todas essas questões mas pela sua habilidade em estabelecer bases necessárias para a cura se processar e continuar no futuro próximo.
Ao contrário do que é defendido pelo autor, esta situação desvaloriza o legítimo direito do regresso de Alkatiri à política ou pelo menos como um possível PM dado que isso se traduziria numa contrariação de todo o processo de cura que terá lugar no caminho para as eleições de 2007. Por isso, o regresso possível de Alkatiri podia ter um efeito catastrófico e podia possivelmente mergulhar o país numa nova crise. Esta decisão e responsabilidade contudo está na mão da Fretilin e na habilidade da sua liderança de ser capaz de pôr o interesse nacional à frente do seu próprio ou da carreira política do próprio Mari Alkatiri.
Há contudo alguns pontos que não foram bem agarrados pelo autor.
Em primeiro lugar, o Presidente não foi o único a culpar desta crise "todos os outros" mas simplesmente na inabilidade do governo em resolver a questão dos peticionários e na subsequente crise que derivou daí. Os que acusam "todos os outros " incluindo os autores estrangeiros foram de facto o próprio Alkatiri e a liderança do núcleo duro da Fretilin as quais até à data não foram substanciadas.
Em segundo lugar, a responsabilidade não cairá simplesmente sobre Xanana ou Ramos Horta como tais, mas em vez disso o sucesso do novo governo dependerá grandemente na Fretilin mostrar ao povo que apesar de tudo é um partido políticamente maduro e genuinamente mais comprometido em fazer o país regressar à normalidade do que em continuar com a postura de finca pé do passado em detrimento da paz e estabilidade do país. Esse compromisso deveria ser exprimido através do estabelecimento duma cooperação de trabalho positiva e frutuosa com o seu novo PM e todas as instituições estatais. Vale a pena também notar que apesar do PM ser independente, o governo permanece muito um governo da Fretilin como resultado da insistência do partido.
Isto pode ser ilustrado através das próprias palavras do autor que cito:
“A FRETILIN não foi arredada como consequência da crise, ainda tem influência no corrente Governo, ainda tem um grande poder no Parlamento e nenhuma das duas situações é inconstitucional.”
Se é verdade, como foi dito por Mari Alkatiri no passado, que somente a Fretilin pode criar estabilidade ou instabilidade, os próximos 10 meses provarão sem margem de dúvida com qual dessas é que a Fretilin está verdadeiramente comprometida.
A resposta de outro leitor:
Pelo contrário, Mari não abandonou a Politica. Continua a ser altamente respeitado pela liderança da Fretilin (por ambos "núcleo duro" ou moderados), por agora regressou ao Parlamente e continua a ser o Secretário-geral da FRETILIN. Como foi sublinhado se Mari não for considerado responsável por nenhuma das alegações contra ele, não vejo porque é que não pode regressar à política.
Há duas questões fundamentais deixadas de fora;
Foi a crise orquestrada (Golpe de Estado)?
E se a FRETILIN ganhar as eleições em 2007 pela mesma margem?
Estas duas questões são fundamentais numa Democracia.
Se Mari não for considerado responsável por nenhuma alegação feita contra ele, não vejo porque é que não pode regressar à politica ou ao cargo de Primeiro-Ministro. Isto tem a ver com o facto de ser o Secretário-Geral da FRETILIN um posto que normalmente assume o cargo de Primeiro-Ministro se a FRETILIN ganhar as eleições. Penso que se ficar provado que esta crise foi orquestrada e se a FRETILIN ganhar as eleições e Mari for ainda o Secretário-geral ele será um candidato forte a Primeiro-Ministro. Penso que neste cenário somente Mari decidirá sair do cargo de Primeiro-Ministro.
Uma vez que este cenário de desenrole, o que o anonymous 8:15:56 PM anota “o regresso possível de Alkatiri podia ter um efeito catastrófico e podia possivelmente mergulhar o país numa nova crise.” é uma ameaça para a própria Democracia, se a FRETILIN regressar com a mesma maioria tem todo o direito de escolher o Primeiro-Ministro e ser respeitada por essa escolha. Quanto à possibilidade de mergulhar o país na crise, é da responsabilidade de todos os líderes partidários respeitar o resultado em qualquer eleição livre e justa.
Mas entretanto, tudo depende do Procurador-Geral ter sucesso em montar um caso forte contra, e da FRETILIN ganhar as próximas eleições com Mari como Secretário-geral do partido.
A questão da crise ser orquestrada, se a FRETILIN ganhar as eleições então deverá ter a maturidade para olhar para o futuro e reconciliar-se com todos os outros partidos políticos incluindo os Independentes.
O processo de cura deve começar com todos os líderes políticos e cívicos da nossa sociedade respeitando os resultados de qualquer eleição livre e justa.
Enviar um comentário